Climate Outlook for Suriname

June - November 2022


The Long Rainy season commences from mid-April and will last till mid-August. The Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) migrates above Suriname during the Long Rainy season towards the north of Suriname.

La Niña condition persists this season. The seasonal rainfall is expected to be wetter than usual. The flooding risk is present.


Precipitation Outlook

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Source: Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology (CIMH)

June – July – August (JJA) 2022
The season will be wetter than usual.

September – October – November (SON) 2022
The period will be wetter than normal.



Temperature Outlook

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Source: Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology (CIMH)

June – July - August (JJA) 2022
The temperatures will be according to climatology in the Western part and the eastern part of the country will be warmer than usual.

September – October - November (SON) 2022
Temperatures are expected to be according to climatology in the western part and warmer than usual in the Eastern part of the country.



Seasonal Rainfall February – March – April (FMA) 2022

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Data source: worldweather.wmo.int


The seasonal rainfall February – April (FMA) 2022 was higher than the long term seasonal rainfall average for the coast and the hinterland.

Discussion

The La Niña condition will continue this season from June to August. May and June are statistically the wettest months of the year. Heavy and frequent showers will occur during the season as usual. The season will be wetter than normal, and the flood potential is still high. The saturated soil will no longer be able to absorb the rainwater, and excessive rainwater will result in flooding, especially in the low-lying areas. The seasonal rainfall from February to April 2022 was higher in the hinterland than in the coastal area, and has exceeded the long-term seasonal rainfall average for both. The Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) migrates above Suriname towards the North during this season, accompanied by normal to heavy rain in those areas. The temperature is forecast to be warmer in the eastern part of the country.



Climate Advisory

Flooding risk is still present during this period. The saturated soil will no longer be able to absorb the rain water. The low-lying areas are vulnerable to flooding. Maintain drains in the neighborhoods and around crop beds. Plant crops on raised beds and house animals on high grounds and or on raised pens.




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Aurae Opus Foundation provides the information with no warranty, concerning the accuracy, completeness, and reliability of the Outlook. The public can use the information freely with proper acknowledgment of its source. The content should not be modified and then presented as an original product.

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Paramaribo - Suriname